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Will there be additional Ukrainian incursions into Kursk Region by October 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from Russian or Ukrainian military and government sources, or major news outlets
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Kursk Region Installs Concrete Shelters Amid Ukrainian Incursions
Aug 22, 2024, 07:19 AM
Authorities in Russia's western Kursk region have begun installing reinforced concrete shelters amid ongoing Ukrainian incursions. The acting Governor of the Kursk Region announced that the installation has started in Kursk, Kurchatov, and Zheleznogorsk. The plan includes equipping 60 main bus stops in the regional center with these shelters. The decision to install shelters comes as the region cancels SMS alerts about missile and drone dangers due to technical issues and the need to reduce panic.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Successful for Ukraine • 25%
Successful for Russia • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukrainian forces withdraw completely • 25%
Ukrainian forces maintain current positions • 25%
Ukrainian forces advance further • 25%
Ukrainian forces are repelled further into Ukraine • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Ukraine maintains control over parts of Kursk • 25%
Russia regains full control • 25%
Stalemate with ongoing conflict • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Ukraine controls Kursk • 25%
Russia retains control of Kursk • 25%
Stalemate with no clear control • 25%
Ceasefire in Kursk region • 25%
Ukrainian forces hold captured territory • 25%
Russian forces recapture all territory • 25%
Stalemate with contested areas • 25%
Other • 25%
