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Market
Will Trump's administration switch back to FBI checks for Cabinet picks by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from Trump's administration or credible media reports
Story
Trump's Team Bypasses FBI Checks, Uses Private Firms for Cabinet Picks
Nov 15, 2024, 02:41 PM
Donald Trump's transition team is bypassing traditional FBI background checks for at least some of his Cabinet picks, opting instead to use private companies for vetting potential candidates for administration jobs. This move has sparked concerns about the thoroughness and reliability of the vetting process, with critics labeling it as reckless.
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No impact, all assume office smoothly • 25%
Minor delays for some members • 25%
Significant delays for multiple members • 25%
Major disruptions, multiple members unable to assume office • 25%
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No • 50%