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What will be the impact of Trump's security clearance approach on cabinet assumption by Apr 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
No impact, all assume office smoothly • 25%
Minor delays for some members • 25%
Significant delays for multiple members • 25%
Major disruptions, multiple members unable to assume office • 25%
Reports from government agencies or credible news outlets on the operational status of Trump's cabinet
Story
Trump Team Plans Immediate Security Clearances for Cabinet Picks, Delaying FBI Vetting: Guardian Exclusive
Nov 26, 2024, 04:10 PM
Donald Trump’s transition team is planning to grant sweeping security clearances to all cabinet picks immediately after the presidential election. These clearances would be issued by the president-elect, bypassing traditional FBI background checks until after the incoming administration assumes control of the bureau. This approach marks a significant departure from standard practices, where FBI vetting is typically conducted prior to granting such clearances. Additionally, Trump’s team has reportedly declined to sign an agreement with the Justice Department that would enable the FBI to perform security clearances for transition members. Critics have raised concerns about potential counterintelligence risks associated with this expedited process. The plan, described as a 'guardian exclusive,' also includes easier FBI vetting for officials.
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Policy continues unchanged • 25%
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FBI • 25%
Private Company A • 25%
Private Company B • 25%
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