Loading...
Market
Will Theresa May or another official express satisfaction with the inquiry's findings by the end of 2024?
3
UK•Dawn Sturgess•Wiltshire•Novichok•Russian•Sergei Skripal•London•Kremlin•Theresa May•Skripals•Salisbury Guildhall
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Public statements from Theresa May or other relevant officials
Story
UK Launches Inquiry into 2018 Novichok Death of Dawn Sturgess; Theresa May Says Justice Unlikely
Oct 13, 2024, 11:25 PM
The UK has launched a public inquiry into the death of Dawn Sturgess, a Wiltshire woman who died in 2018 after being exposed to the Novichok nerve agent. The poisoning, which also targeted former Russian double agent Sergei Skripal, significantly strained relations between London and the Kremlin. Former Prime Minister Theresa May has expressed doubts about achieving justice for the victims, stating it is 'highly unlikely'. She added, 'I would hope by the end of it the family and friends of Dawn Sturgess feel it has got to the truth.' The inquiry will examine the role of the Russian state in the poisoning and whether the Skripals were adequately protected. Public hearings are set to begin at Salisbury Guildhall, with heightened security measures in place. The inquiry has a limited scope.
View original story
Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Putin directly implicated • 25%
Russian state implicated without direct link to Putin • 25%
No new evidence found • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No significant changes recommended • 25%
Major operational changes recommended • 25%
Leadership changes recommended • 25%
Combination of operational and leadership changes • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Adequate precautions • 25%
Inadequate precautions • 25%
Partially adequate • 25%
Not assessed • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Contract termination • 25%
New cybersecurity measures • 25%
Legal action • 25%
No significant action • 25%