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What will be the outcome of the UK public inquiry into Salisbury poisonings by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Putin directly implicated • 25%
Russian state implicated without direct link to Putin • 25%
No new evidence found • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Final report or findings published by the UK public inquiry
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UK Government Believes Putin Authorized Salisbury Poisonings Six Years On
Oct 15, 2024, 11:52 AM
The UK government believes that Russian President Vladimir Putin personally authorized the Salisbury novichok poisonings, targeting Sergei Skripal. Skripal, the intended victim, agrees with this assessment, stating, 'I believe Putin makes all important decisions himself.' This new evidence has emerged in a public inquiry. The attack on a British citizen by the Russian state is seen as an act that cannot go unpunished, even if the direct perpetrators remain at large. Six years on from the incident, there are concerns that Putin's Russia is becoming increasingly reckless.
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Russian state involvement confirmed • 25%
Russian state involvement inconclusive • 25%
Russian state involvement denied • 25%
No conclusion reached • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Confirmed involvement • 25%
No involvement • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Not publicly disclosed • 25%
Adequate precautions • 25%
Inadequate precautions • 25%
Partially adequate • 25%
Not assessed • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Adequate precautions were taken • 25%
Inadequate precautions were taken • 25%
Mixed assessment • 25%
No clear conclusion • 25%
Russian state • 25%
Individual actors • 25%
UK authorities • 25%
No specific blame assigned • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic Expulsions • 25%
Military Posturing • 25%
No Action • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%