Loading...
Market
Will the U.S. and Russia engage in high-level talks to address nuclear tensions by the end of 2024?
3
Russia•Ukraine•Vladimir Putin•Rajoli Siddharth Jayaprakash•Li Yan•Foreign Ministry•NATO•RIA•Alexander Grushko•Moscow
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from the U.S. State Department or Russian Foreign Ministry
Story
Russia Unveils New Nuclear Doctrine, Lowering Threshold Amid Ukraine Conflict
Oct 8, 2024, 05:02 AM
Russia has unveiled a new nuclear doctrine, lowering its threshold for nuclear engagement while continuing its invasion of Ukraine. The doctrine updates, proposed by President Vladimir Putin, cite new threats but do not signify a radical departure from previous policies, writes Rajoli Siddharth Jayaprakash. This move has raised concerns globally, with the U.S. making recent nuclear strategy adjustments that may impact the international strategic balance, says Li Yan from the China Institutes of Contemporary International Relations. Russia's Foreign Ministry has acknowledged NATO's increasing role of nuclear weapons in its strategy, reported RIA. Despite rising nuclear tensions, Russia maintains emergency hotlines with the U.S. and NATO for urgent communications. Deputy Foreign Minister Alexander Grushko emphasized that the updates are meant to ensure Moscow's security by all available means.
View original story
Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Successful agreement • 25%
Stalemate with no agreement • 25%
Talks postponed • 25%
No talks held • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Another prisoner swap • 25%
Economic agreement • 25%
Military de-escalation • 25%
Other • 25%
Agreement to de-escalate military activities • 25%
Continuation of current policies • 25%
Imposition of new sanctions • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Improved Relations • 25%
No Change • 25%
Deteriorated Relations • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Nuclear arms control • 25%
Ukraine conflict • 25%
Cybersecurity issues • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
New treaty signed • 25%
Improved relations without formal treaty • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Relations worsen • 25%
Normalization achieved • 25%
New agreement signed • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%