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Market
Will the Ukraine conflict see resolution or de-escalation by June 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from Ukraine, Russia, or international organizations such as the UN
Story
Trump Allegedly Tells Putin 'Resolution of Ukraine's War Soon'; Kremlin Denies Call
Nov 11, 2024, 10:39 AM
Reports have emerged that former U.S. President Donald Trump had a secret phone call with Russian President Vladimir Putin, advising him not to escalate the conflict in Ukraine and expressing hope for the 'resolution of Ukraine's war soon'. However, the Kremlin has denied that any such conversation took place.
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Ceasefire agreement in place • 25%
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Conflict continues • 25%
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Other resolution • 25%
Conflict ends with peace agreement • 25%
Conflict continues at current levels • 25%
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Other resolution • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
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Other resolution • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
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Other outcomes • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
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Escalation of conflict • 25%
Ceasefire without agreement • 25%
Full peace agreement • 25%
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No agreement • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Peace treaty signed • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Ceasefire with conditions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Ukraine regains lost territories • 25%
Russia retains control of territories • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire in place • 25%
Conflict ongoing • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Increased military aid to Ukraine • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Complete resolution • 25%
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Stalemate • 25%
Escalation • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ongoing Conflict • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Peace Agreement • 25%
Escalation • 25%