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What will be the outcome of the alleged Trump-Putin call on Ukraine by end of 2024?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Call confirmed, no impact • 25%
Call confirmed, leads to de-escalation • 25%
Call confirmed, leads to escalation • 25%
Call not confirmed • 25%
Official statements or credible news reports confirming the nature of the call
Story
Trump Allegedly Tells Putin 'Resolution of Ukraine's War Soon'; Kremlin Denies Call
Nov 11, 2024, 10:39 AM
Reports have emerged that former U.S. President Donald Trump had a secret phone call with Russian President Vladimir Putin, advising him not to escalate the conflict in Ukraine and expressing hope for the 'resolution of Ukraine's war soon'. However, the Kremlin has denied that any such conversation took place.
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Peace agreement reached • 25%
Continued negotiations • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Call confirmed • 25%
Call denied • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased U.S. support to Ukraine • 25%
Decreased U.S. support to Ukraine • 25%
No change in U.S. support to Ukraine • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Formal peace plan proposed • 25%
Military support withdrawal • 25%
Continued support without changes • 25%
Other • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Ceasefire without agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Confirmed by U.S. • 25%
Confirmed by Russia • 25%
Confirmed by both • 25%
Not confirmed • 25%
Deal reached • 25%
No deal, increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other significant developments • 25%
Cease-fire agreement reached • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Peace negotiations started • 25%
Increased hostilities • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire declared • 25%
Conflict continues • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
