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What will be the status of the Russia-Ukraine conflict by mid-2025?
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Russia•Ukraine•Ukrainian•Kursk•Russian Foreign Ministry•Maria Zakharova•Washington Post•Zakharova•Qatar
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Verified reports from major news outlets and official statements from the Russian and Ukrainian governments
Story
Russia Denies Reported Disruption of Ukraine Talks Amid Kursk Region Attacks
Aug 18, 2024, 01:11 PM
Russia has denied media reports suggesting that indirect talks with Ukraine were disrupted due to Ukrainian attacks on the Kursk region. The Russian Foreign Ministry, through spokeswoman Maria Zakharova, dismissed claims made in a Washington Post article, stating that no negotiations, direct or indirect, were taking place with the Ukrainian government. Zakharova emphasized that there was nothing to disrupt, as no talks were being conducted regarding the security of civilian critical infrastructure facilities. Reports had also mentioned Qatar in the context of these alleged talks.
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Continued conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Peace treaty signed • 25%
Major escalation involving NATO • 25%
Peace treaty signed • 25%
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Ukraine regains all lost territory • 25%
Russia maintains current positions • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
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Continued conflict with no resolution • 25%
Ceasefire agreement in place • 25%
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Ceasefire agreed upon • 25%
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Status quo maintained • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
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Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
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Ukraine wins • 25%
Russia wins • 25%
Stalemate or ongoing conflict • 25%
Negotiated peace agreement • 25%
Stalemate/No resolution • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Military victory for Ukraine • 25%
Military victory for Russia • 25%
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Formal ceasefire agreement • 25%
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Other outcome • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
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Complete resolution • 25%
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Conflict continues • 25%
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Ceasefire without agreement • 25%
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Conflict continues with no resolution • 25%
Ukraine gains territorial advantage • 25%
Russia gains territorial advantage • 25%