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Will the Israeli government confirm the use of the Hannibal Directive on October 7 by the end of 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from the Israeli government or military
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Israeli Forces Reportedly Killed Hundreds with Apache Helicopters at Nova Festival on October 7
Sep 8, 2024, 12:48 PM
On October 7, Israeli forces reportedly killed hundreds of their own citizens under the 'Hannibal Directive,' a controversial military protocol. ABC News and Haaretz have reported that 28 Apache fighter helicopters fired all their ammunition, targeting locations including the Nova music festival. Leaked video footage from the Israeli Airforce corroborates these claims. The directive, aimed at preventing the capture of troops, resulted in significant civilian casualties. Air Force Colonel Nof Erez confirmed the application of the directive during the chaos, and the helicopters had to be reloaded. IDF commanders reportedly gave the order to fire on captured troops.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Prime Minister • 25%
Defense Minister • 25%
Military Spokesperson • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Launches formal investigation • 25%
Implements policy changes • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other • 25%
No wrongdoing found • 25%
Operational errors acknowledged • 25%
Directive deemed inappropriate • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No wrongdoing found • 25%
Minor procedural errors found • 25%
Major violations found • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
