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Will the Israeli government launch an official investigation into the use of the Hannibal Directive on October 7, 2024 by the end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements or reports from the Israeli government or related authorities
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Haaretz: Israeli Army Implemented Hannibal Directive on October 7 Amid Hamas Infiltration
Jul 7, 2024, 11:00 AM
Investigations by Israeli daily Haaretz reveal that on October 7, the Israeli army implemented the Hannibal Directive, which orders the use of force to prevent soldiers from being taken captive by killing both captors and captives. The directive was employed at three army facilities infiltrated by Hamas, resulting in the endangerment and deaths of dozens of Israeli civilians. The Israeli army also ordered a ban on any vehicle returning to Gaza and indiscriminately bombed the area with mortar shells and artillery. Drones were dispatched to attack the Re’im outpost near the Nova festival. Documents and testimonies obtained by Haaretz confirm the widespread execution of the directive, turning areas around Gaza into free-fire zones.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No wrongdoing found • 25%
Minor procedural errors found • 25%
Major violations found • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No wrongdoing found • 25%
Operational errors acknowledged • 25%
Directive deemed inappropriate • 25%
Other • 25%
Prime Minister • 25%
Defense Minister • 25%
Military Spokesperson • 25%
Other • 25%
Launches formal investigation • 25%
Implements policy changes • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No wrongdoing found • 25%
Partial wrongdoing found • 25%
Full wrongdoing found • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%