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What will be the outcome of legal actions taken against IDF commanders involved in the October 7 incident by the end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
No charges • 25%
Minor charges • 25%
Major charges • 25%
Acquittal • 25%
Official court rulings or military tribunal outcomes
Story
Israeli Forces Reportedly Killed Hundreds with Apache Helicopters at Nova Festival on October 7
Sep 8, 2024, 12:48 PM
On October 7, Israeli forces reportedly killed hundreds of their own citizens under the 'Hannibal Directive,' a controversial military protocol. ABC News and Haaretz have reported that 28 Apache fighter helicopters fired all their ammunition, targeting locations including the Nova music festival. Leaked video footage from the Israeli Airforce corroborates these claims. The directive, aimed at preventing the capture of troops, resulted in significant civilian casualties. Air Force Colonel Nof Erez confirmed the application of the directive during the chaos, and the helicopters had to be reloaded. IDF commanders reportedly gave the order to fire on captured troops.
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No legal action • 25%
Charges but no convictions • 25%
Convictions • 25%
Other • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Reprimands issued • 25%
Resignations • 25%
Other • 25%
All responsible captured/eliminated • 25%
Most responsible captured/eliminated • 25%
Some responsible captured/eliminated • 25%
None responsible captured/eliminated • 25%
Criminal charges filed • 25%
Court-martial proceedings initiated • 25%
No legal actions taken • 25%
Other legal outcomes • 25%
All dismissed • 25%
Some convictions • 25%
All convictions • 25%
Ongoing trials • 25%
Against Hamas • 25%
Against IDF • 25%
Against other entities • 25%
No legal actions taken • 25%
IDF Personnel Charged • 25%
IDF Personnel Cleared • 25%
Compensation to Victims' Families • 25%
No Legal Actions • 25%
Major leadership changes • 25%
Policy changes • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant failures found • 25%
Failures identified but no resignations • 25%
Failures lead to multiple resignations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No charges filed • 25%
Charges filed but no convictions • 25%
Convictions with minor sentences • 25%
Convictions with major sentences • 25%
No wrongdoing found • 25%
Minor disciplinary actions • 25%
Major disciplinary actions • 25%
Criminal charges • 25%