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Market
Will the court grant Marine Le Pen an exception to run in 2027 despite conviction by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official court ruling or announcement regarding exceptions.
Story
Marine Le Pen Faces Potential Ban from 2027 Presidential Race Over Fake Jobs Trial
Nov 13, 2024, 07:42 AM
Marine Le Pen, leader of France’s right-wing party, faces a potential five-year ban from the 2027 presidential race if convicted of misusing European Parliament funds between 2011 and 2016. The announcement, made yesterday, states that the ban would be mandated unless the court grants an exception. Le Pen has rejected the embezzlement claims, but her presidential bid hangs in the balance as the trial enters its final stretch. The verdict is expected in early 2025. The case, referred to as the fake jobs trial, is based on a 2016 law.
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Yes • 50%
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Eligible to run • 25%
Ineligible due to conviction • 25%
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