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Market
Will Marine Le Pen be disqualified from the 2027 presidential race by December 31, 2024?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official court ruling and news reports
Story
Le Pen's Trial Over Alleged EU Fund Embezzlement Could Bar Her from 2027 Presidential Race
Sep 30, 2024, 06:05 AM
Marine Le Pen, the longtime leader of France's far-right National Rally (RN) party, stands trial in a Paris criminal court on Monday, alongside 26 others, over alleged embezzlement of European Parliament funds. The case centers around accusations that Le Pen and other RN members misused EU funds while serving as Members of the European Parliament (MEPs). If found guilty, Le Pen could potentially be disqualified from running in the 2027 presidential election, a ruling that could doom her presidential ambitions.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Eligible to run • 25%
Ineligible due to conviction • 25%
Ineligible due to other legal issues • 25%
Eligibility undecided • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Banned from holding public office • 25%
Allowed to run for president in 2027 • 25%
Receives a fine but no ban • 25%
No penalties • 25%