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Market
Will Marine Le Pen be barred from running in the 2027 French presidential election by the end of 2024?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statement from the French electoral commission or court ruling
Story
Le Pen's Trial Over Misuse of EU Funds Begins Monday, Threatens 2027 Presidential Ambitions
Sep 30, 2024, 06:05 AM
French far-right leader Marine Le Pen, the longtime head of the National Rally (RN) party, is set to stand trial in a Paris criminal court on Monday over allegations of misusing European Union funds. The trial's outcome could potentially bar Le Pen from running for president in 2027 if she is found guilty, jeopardizing her presidential ambitions.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Eligible to run • 25%
Ineligible due to conviction • 25%
Ineligible due to other legal issues • 25%
Eligibility undecided • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Banned from holding public office • 25%
Allowed to run for president in 2027 • 25%
Receives a fine but no ban • 25%
No penalties • 25%