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How will NATO respond to Russia's demands about presence in Ukraine by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
NATO agrees to demands • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Increased NATO presence • 25%
Official statements from NATO, Ukrainian government, or Russian government
Story
Russia's Lavrov Warns West with 'Oreshnik' Test, Seeks Normal US Relations
Dec 5, 2024, 11:30 PM
Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, in an interview with Tucker Carlson, stated that Russia does not seek war with the United States and desires normal relations. Lavrov emphasized that Russia is prepared to use any means to defend its interests, highlighting the recent test of the 'Oreshnik' hypersonic missile as a clear signal to the West. He warned that discussions of a limited nuclear strike are an invitation to catastrophe that Russia wants to avoid. Lavrov noted that Russia and the US currently maintain dialogue mainly through prisoner exchange channels. He reiterated that Russia does not intend to destroy the Ukrainian people, whom he referred to as 'brothers and sisters,' and asserted that it is mistaken for anyone in the West to believe that Russia has no 'red lines.' He stated that Russia's conditions are 'No NATO, no military bases, no military exercises with foreign troops on Ukrainian soil.'
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NATO extends membership offer • 25%
NATO rejects ultimatum • 25%
NATO initiates talks • 25%
No official response • 25%
Increased military support to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic measures against Russia • 25%
Economic sanctions on Russia • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Military support to Ukraine • 33%
Economic sanctions on Russia • 33%
Both • 34%
Increased military aid to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
No significant change in policy • 25%
Other response • 25%
Increase military presence in Eastern Europe • 25%
Increase diplomatic efforts • 25%
Impose new sanctions on Russia • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Intensified opposition • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
No official response • 25%
Continued support • 25%
Increased support • 25%
Reduced support • 25%
Withdrawal of support • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military action • 25%
Other • 25%
Formal invitation extended • 25%
Alternative security guarantees offered • 25%
Rejection of membership request • 25%
No official response • 25%