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Market
Will the U.S. restore diplomatic relations with Russia by December 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the U.S. State Department or Russian Foreign Ministry
Story
Trump Accepts Putin's Offer for Call to End Ukraine War, Outlines Peace Terms
Nov 8, 2024, 06:04 PM
US President-elect Donald Trump has accepted Russian President Vladimir Putin's offer for a call to discuss ending the war in Ukraine. According to Kurt Volker, former U.S. special representative for Ukraine negotiations, Trump plans to make the call swiftly and demand an end to the conflict. Putin has expressed readiness to restore diplomatic relations with the United States and negotiate an end to the Ukraine war. Putin has outlined his terms for peace talks, which include Ukrainian neutrality for 20 years, recognition of annexed territories, and a de facto surrender by Ukraine.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Severed relations • 25%
Improved Relations • 25%
Status Quo • 25%
Deteriorated Relations • 25%
Severed Diplomatic Ties • 25%
Severely deteriorated • 25%
Moderately deteriorated • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Improved • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Worsened relations • 25%
Diplomatic breakdown • 25%
Meeting occurs • 25%
Meeting planned but not held • 25%
No meeting planned • 25%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%
Relations improve • 25%
Relations deteriorate • 25%
Relations remain stable • 25%
Formal diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
