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Will Qatar or Egypt announce further diplomatic actions regarding the Gaza ceasefire by February 28, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from Qatar or Egypt or coverage by international news agencies
Story
Hamas, Led by Khalil Al-Hayya, Approves Gaza Ceasefire and Prisoner Exchange Deal with Qatar and Egypt
Jan 15, 2025, 04:22 PM
Hamas has informed Al Jazeera that its delegation, led by Khalil Al-Hayya, has delivered the movement's approval for a ceasefire and prisoner exchange agreement to the mediators in Qatar and Egypt. This development marks a significant step towards potentially ending hostilities in Gaza, with the agreement awaiting further action from other involved parties.
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Neither plays a major role • 25%
Qatar plays major role • 25%
Egypt plays major role • 25%
Both play equal roles • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Secondary mediator • 25%
No significant role • 25%
Primary mediator • 25%
Withdraws from mediation • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Qatar successfully mediates a ceasefire • 25%
Qatar withdraws from mediation • 25%
Qatar's mediation leads to partial agreements • 25%
Qatar remains involved without resolution • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Major facilitator • 25%
Role disputed • 25%
No significant role • 25%
Minor facilitator • 25%