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What role will Qatar and Egypt play in the Gaza ceasefire deal by March 31, 2025?
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Joe Biden•Israel•Hamas•Gaza•State Department•Biden•American•Keith Siegel•Palestinian•Qatar•Egypt•Trump
Resolution / Starting Odds
Qatar plays major role • 25%
Egypt plays major role • 25%
Both play equal roles • 25%
Neither plays a major role • 25%
Statements from the governments of Qatar and Egypt or coverage by international news outlets like Al Jazeera or BBC
Story
Biden: Gaza Ceasefire Deal for 33 Hostages and 1000 Prisoners Nears Completion, Involving Trump Administration
Jan 13, 2025, 08:39 PM
U.S. President Joe Biden has announced that a ceasefire and hostage-release deal between Israel and Hamas in Gaza is on the brink of being finalized. Speaking at the State Department, Biden emphasized that the proposal he outlined months ago is close to coming to fruition. The deal aims to secure the release of 33 hostages, including at least two American citizens, Sagui Dekel-Chen and Keith Siegel, in exchange for a ceasefire lasting at least six weeks and the release of over 1000 Palestinian prisoners. The U.S. is working urgently to close the agreement, with Biden having been in communication with key intermediaries, including the leaders of Qatar and Egypt, to facilitate the negotiations. The incoming Trump administration has also been involved in the mediation process.
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Primary mediator • 25%
No significant role • 25%
Withdraws from mediation • 25%
Secondary mediator • 25%
Major facilitator • 25%
No significant role • 25%
Role disputed • 25%
Minor facilitator • 25%
Qatar's mediation leads to partial agreements • 25%
Qatar remains involved without resolution • 25%
Qatar withdraws from mediation • 25%
Qatar successfully mediates a ceasefire • 25%
Egypt withdraws from negotiations • 25%
Egypt's role remains neutral • 25%
Egypt brokers a successful ceasefire • 25%
Egypt fails to broker a ceasefire • 25%
Critical Role • 25%
Significant Role • 25%
Minor Role • 25%
No Role • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Qatar • 25%
Egypt • 25%
Other • 25%
United States • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Egypt plays a leading role • 25%
US plays a leading role • 25%
Qatar plays a leading role • 25%
Joint mediation effort • 25%
Direct involvement in negotiations • 25%
No involvement • 25%
Indirect support for the deal • 25%
Other • 25%