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Hamas, Led by Khalil Al-Hayya, Approves Gaza Ceasefire and Prisoner Exchange Deal with Qatar and Egypt

Jan 15, 2025, 04:22 PM

Hamas has informed Al Jazeera that its delegation, led by Khalil Al-Hayya, has delivered the movement's approval for a ceasefire and prisoner exchange agreement to the mediators in Qatar and Egypt. This development marks a significant step towards potentially ending hostilities in Gaza, with the agreement awaiting further action from other involved parties.

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Will a prisoner exchange occur between Hamas and Israel by April 30, 2025?

Hamas•Al Jazeera•Qatar•Egypt•Gaza

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Reports from credible news agencies or official announcements from involved parties

Will Qatar or Egypt announce further diplomatic actions regarding the Gaza ceasefire by February 28, 2025?

Hamas•Al Jazeera•Qatar•Egypt•Gaza

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Official announcements from Qatar or Egypt or coverage by international news agencies

Will the Gaza ceasefire agreement be implemented by March 31, 2025?

Hamas•Al Jazeera•Qatar•Egypt•Gaza

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Official statements from Hamas, Israeli government, or credible news outlets like Al Jazeera or BBC

How will the international community respond to the Gaza ceasefire by May 31, 2025?

Hamas•Al Jazeera•Qatar•Egypt•Gaza

Resolution / Starting Odds

Negative criticism • 25%

No official response • 25%

Positive endorsement • 25%

Neutral stance • 25%

Statements from UN, EU, US, or other international bodies reported by credible news sources

What will be Khalil Al-Hayya's role in future Gaza negotiations by the end of 2025?

Hamas•Al Jazeera•Qatar•Egypt•Gaza

Resolution / Starting Odds

Replaced by another leader • 25%

Continues as lead negotiator • 25%

No further involvement • 25%

Steps back from negotiations • 25%

Reports from reputable news agencies or official statements from Hamas

What will be the outcome of the Gaza ceasefire and prisoner exchange by June 30, 2025?

Hamas•Al Jazeera•Qatar•Egypt•Gaza

Resolution / Starting Odds

Agreement abandoned • 25%

Full implementation • 25%

Partial implementation • 25%

No implementation • 25%

Official reports from Hamas, Israeli government, or reputable news agencies