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Will Qatar successfully mediate a peace agreement between Israel and Hamas by December 31, 2025?
3
Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Mossad•Shin Bet•Israeli Defense Forces•IDF•Doha•Qatar•Gaza•United States•Egypt•Hamas
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from involved parties and major news outlets
Story
Netanyahu Sends Delegation to Qatar to Negotiate Gaza Ceasefire and Release of 100 Hostages
Jan 2, 2025, 09:49 PM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has authorized a delegation, composed of representatives from the Mossad, the Shin Bet, and the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF), to travel to Doha, Qatar, to resume negotiations aimed at securing a ceasefire and the release of 100 hostages in Gaza. The delegation is set to depart on Friday, following a period of stalled talks that have persisted for 15 months. The negotiations are part of ongoing efforts mediated by Qatar, the United States, and Egypt to end the conflict. Hamas has also expressed willingness to engage in these discussions, with some optimism noted among its officials about reaching a successful outcome this time.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Qatar's mediation leads to partial agreements • 25%
Qatar successfully mediates a ceasefire • 25%
Qatar remains involved without resolution • 25%
Qatar withdraws from mediation • 25%
United States • 25%
United Nations • 25%
Egypt • 25%
Other • 25%
Egypt • 25%
United States • 25%
Other • 25%
Qatar • 25%
Egypt • 25%
Other • 25%
United States • 25%
United Nations • 25%
Hostage release only • 25%
Both ceasefire and hostage release • 25%
Neither • 25%
Ceasefire only • 25%
