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What will be the outcome of Russia's Oreshnik missile tests in Ukraine by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful tests with no international response • 25%
Successful tests with international condemnation • 25%
Failed tests • 25%
No tests conducted • 25%
Reports from credible international news agencies and military analysis reports
Story
Putin Threatens Kyiv with Combat Testing of New Oreshnik Missile, Calls Potential Strike Comparable to Nuclear Weapons
Nov 28, 2024, 01:54 PM
Russian President Vladimir Putin announced on November 28, 2024, that Russia will continue to conduct 'combat testing' of its new Oreshnik hypersonic missile in Ukraine. He indicated that the missile could be used to target 'decision-making centers' in Kyiv, the Ukrainian capital. Putin described a potential strike involving multiple Oreshnik missiles as being 'comparable to the use of nuclear weapons.' This announcement comes amid escalating tensions and ongoing conflict in the region, with Putin emphasizing that the serial production of the Oreshnik missiles has commenced.
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Successful tests with no major incidents • 25%
Successful tests with major incidents • 25%
Unsuccessful tests • 25%
Testing halted • 25%
Successful strike • 25%
Intercepted • 25%
No test conducted • 25%
Other • 25%
No launch • 25%
Intercepted • 25%
Hit military target • 25%
Hit civilian target • 25%
Significant military success • 25%
Limited impact • 25%
No impact • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Significant military success • 25%
Limited military success • 25%
No military impact • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%