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Will NATO express concern over Grenell's envoy role by Feb 28, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official NATO statements or credible news reporting
Story
Trump Considers Richard Grenell as Russia-Ukraine Envoy Amid NATO Concerns
Nov 23, 2024, 05:32 AM
US President-elect Donald Trump is considering appointing Richard Grenell, his former acting Director of National Intelligence and former U.S. Ambassador to Germany, as a special envoy for the Russia-Ukraine conflict, according to multiple sources. Grenell's diplomatic experience includes peace negotiations in Serbia and Kosovo, and he is known for his strong opposition to the Nord Stream 2 pipeline. He has previously suggested peace plans involving the creation of "autonomous zones" as a means of settling the conflict and has expressed opposition to Ukraine's membership in NATO. His potential appointment has raised concerns due to his past stances.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Successful peace negotiations • 25%
Stalemate with no progress • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Grenell not appointed • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Special envoy for Iran • 25%
Another diplomatic role • 25%
No official role • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Appointed as envoy • 25%
Appointed to another role • 25%
Not appointed to any role • 25%
Position remains unfilled • 25%
Venezuela • 25%
North Korea • 25%
Another country • 25%
No mission by this date • 25%