Loading...
Market
Will legal challenges to the mass deportation policy arise by mid-2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Court filings or rulings, verified news reports
Story
Trump Names Former ICE Director Tom Homan Border Czar to Lead Largest Mass Deportations
Nov 11, 2024, 04:58 AM
President-elect Donald Trump has announced that Tom Homan, former acting Director of U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) and author of Project 2025, will serve as the 'Border Czar' in his incoming administration. Homan will oversee all U.S. border security and the deportation of illegal immigrants, including implementing what is expected to be the largest mass deportation operation in U.S. history. By appointing Homan as 'Border Czar', Trump may avoid a Senate confirmation battle, as the position does not require Senate approval. Homan, known for his hardline stance on immigration enforcement, previously stated, 'Families can be deported together.' He also remarked to illegal immigrants, 'You better start packing now... because you're going home.'
View original story
Similar markets
Supreme Court ruling • 25%
Federal court injunction • 25%
State-level challenges • 25%
No major legal challenges • 25%
Program upheld • 25%
Program partially blocked • 25%
Program fully blocked • 25%
No legal challenges • 25%
Upheld by courts • 25%
Blocked by courts • 25%
Partially blocked • 25%
No significant legal challenges • 25%
No Challenges • 25%
Challenges but no injunctions • 25%
Injunctions but no reversals • 25%
Reversals or significant legal setbacks • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Multiple lawsuits filed • 25%
Single lawsuit filed • 25%
No lawsuits filed • 25%
Court orders halting operations • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No significant legal challenges • 25%
Challenges in lower courts only • 25%
Challenges reaching appellate courts • 25%
Challenges reaching the Supreme Court • 25%
Plans upheld • 25%
Plans blocked • 25%
Plans modified • 25%
Ongoing litigation • 25%
