Loading...
Market
Will Alexander Smirnov appeal his sentence by December 31, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Court records or public statements by Smirnov's legal team
Story
Former FBI Informant Alexander Smirnov Pleads Guilty to Four Felony Charges, Facing 48 to 72 Months for Lying About Biden Bribery Scheme
Dec 16, 2024, 08:19 PM
Alexander Smirnov, a former FBI informant, pleaded guilty on December 16 to lying about a fabricated bribery scheme involving President Joe Biden and his son, Hunter Biden. This scheme was central to the Republican impeachment inquiry against President Biden. Smirnov's guilty plea includes four felony charges related to falsifying statements to federal authorities, as well as unrelated tax evasion charges stemming from accusations of concealing millions of dollars in income. The false claims made by Smirnov were initially reported in June 2020 and were leveraged by Republican lawmakers in their attempts to impeach the president. The plea was entered in Los Angeles, with Smirnov facing a potential sentence of 48 to 72 months in prison. His allegations had significant political implications, contributing to the narrative surrounding Biden's interactions with a Ukrainian energy company.
View original story
Similar markets
Less than 48 months • 25%
48 to 60 months • 25%
61 to 72 months • 25%
More than 72 months • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Less than 4 years • 25%
4 to 6 years • 25%
More than 6 years • 25%
No prison sentence • 25%
Sentence reduced • 25%
Sentence upheld • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Appeal not filed • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Conviction upheld • 25%
Sentence reduced • 25%
Conviction overturned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
