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Will ICE conduct a large-scale immigration raid in Chicago from January 21 to January 27, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from major news outlets such as CNN, BBC, or official statements from ICE
Story
Trump to Launch Mass Deportation Raids in Chicago Day After Inauguration; Mayor Vows Opposition
Jan 18, 2025, 01:51 AM
Following President-Elect Donald Trump's inauguration, the incoming administration is planning a large-scale immigration raid in Chicago next week, marking the first move in his promised mass deportation campaign. According to four people familiar with the planning, Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) will deploy between 100 and 200 officers to carry out the operation, which is scheduled to begin on Tuesday morning, the day after the inauguration, and may last all week. Mayor Brandon Johnson is reportedly promising to stand in the way of the operation. Chicago is expected to be the first city targeted, with other sanctuary cities potentially following. Sources have described the planned raid as a "big f–king operation."
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Postponed or canceled • 25%
Unsuccessful • 25%
Successful with resistance • 25%
Successful with no resistance • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Raids partially conducted • 25%
Raids postponed • 25%
Raids conducted as planned • 25%
Raids fully prevented • 25%
Insufficient data to determine • 25%
Public opinion is divided • 25%
Majority oppose the raids • 25%
Majority support the raids • 25%
Raids postponed or cancelled • 25%
Successful deportation of undocumented immigrants • 25%
Raids blocked by local authorities • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Official condemnation • 25%
Minor protests • 25%
Major protests • 25%
No protests • 25%