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Will significant protests occur in Chicago against ICE raids from January 21 to January 28, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Coverage of protests in Chicago by major news outlets or official police reports
Story
Trump to Begin Mass Deportations Tuesday with Chicago Raid Deploying 200 ICE Officers
Jan 18, 2025, 01:23 AM
The incoming Trump administration is planning a large-scale immigration raid in Chicago next week, marking the first move in President-elect Donald Trump's promised mass deportation campaign, according to four people familiar with the planning. The operation, described as a multi-day 'ground operation,' is set to begin on Tuesday morning, the day after Trump's inauguration on Monday, and will last all week. U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) is expected to deploy between 100 and 200 officers to carry out the operation in Chicago, with additional raids planned in other sanctuary cities such as New York City. The raids aim to target undocumented immigrants, fulfilling Trump's campaign pledge to crack down on illegal immigration. Chicago Mayor Brandon Johnson has vowed to oppose the federal deportation efforts. The planned raids have sparked growing concerns among immigrant communities and advocates in Chicago.
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Official condemnation • 25%
No protests • 25%
Major protests • 25%
Minor protests • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Successful with resistance • 25%
Successful with no resistance • 25%
Postponed or canceled • 25%
Unsuccessful • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Raids partially conducted • 25%
Raids conducted as planned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Raids fully prevented • 25%