Loading...
Market
How many sanctuary cities will ICE target with raids by the end of January 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Only Chicago • 25%
2-3 cities • 25%
4-5 cities • 25%
More than 5 cities • 25%
Reports from major news outlets or official statements from ICE confirming targeted cities
Story
Trump to Launch Mass Deportation Raids in Chicago Day After Inauguration; Mayor Vows Opposition
Jan 18, 2025, 01:51 AM
Following President-Elect Donald Trump's inauguration, the incoming administration is planning a large-scale immigration raid in Chicago next week, marking the first move in his promised mass deportation campaign. According to four people familiar with the planning, Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) will deploy between 100 and 200 officers to carry out the operation, which is scheduled to begin on Tuesday morning, the day after the inauguration, and may last all week. Mayor Brandon Johnson is reportedly promising to stand in the way of the operation. Chicago is expected to be the first city targeted, with other sanctuary cities potentially following. Sources have described the planned raid as a "big f–king operation."
View original story
Similar markets
4-5 cities • 25%
Only Chicago • 25%
More than 5 cities • 25%
2-3 cities • 25%
11 to 15 • 25%
Less than 5 • 25%
More than 15 • 25%
5 to 10 • 25%
11-15 cities • 25%
1-5 cities • 25%
6-10 cities • 25%
More than 15 cities • 25%
Extended to New York City only • 25%
Limited to Chicago • 25%
No raids conducted • 25%
Extended to multiple sanctuary cities • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Less than 100 arrests • 25%
More than 1000 arrests • 25%
501-1000 arrests • 25%
100-500 arrests • 25%
New York • 25%
Other • 25%
Los Angeles • 25%
Chicago • 25%
Los Angeles • 25%
New York City • 25%
Other • 25%
San Francisco • 25%
Houston • 25%
Chicago • 25%
New York • 25%
Los Angeles • 25%