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Outcome of ICE raid efforts in Chicago January 23-30, 2025?
3
Trump•Chicago•Donald Trump•Wall Street Journal•Immigration and Customs Enforcement•ICE•New York•Brandon Johnson
Resolution / Starting Odds
Raids conducted as planned • 25%
Raids partially conducted • 25%
Raids fully prevented • 25%
Raids postponed • 25%
Official statements from ICE, the City of Chicago, and major news outlets
Story
Trump to Begin Mass Deportation with Chicago Raids Tuesday; Mayor Johnson Vows Opposition
Jan 18, 2025, 01:16 AM
The incoming Trump administration is planning to initiate a large-scale immigration raid in Chicago next week, starting on Tuesday, the day after President-elect Donald Trump's inauguration, according to reports from the Wall Street Journal citing four people familiar with the planning. The operation will involve the deployment of between 100 and 200 Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) officers to conduct raids in the city. This marks the first move in Trump's promised mass deportation campaign. The multi-day operation is expected to last all week, with similar actions potentially taking place in other sanctuary cities, including New York. Chicago Mayor Brandon Johnson has vowed to stand in the way of the federal operation.
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Similar markets
Postponed or canceled • 25%
Successful with no resistance • 25%
Unsuccessful • 25%
Successful with resistance • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Raids blocked by local authorities • 25%
Successful deportation of undocumented immigrants • 25%
Raids postponed or cancelled • 25%
Official condemnation • 25%
Minor protests • 25%
Major protests • 25%
No protests • 25%
Majority support the raids • 25%
Majority oppose the raids • 25%
Public opinion is divided • 25%
Insufficient data to determine • 25%
Raids conducted as planned • 25%
Raids fully prevented • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Raids partially conducted • 25%
Limited to Chicago • 25%
No raids conducted • 25%
Extended to multiple sanctuary cities • 25%
Extended to New York City only • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
