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What will be the status of humanitarian aid access in Gaza by December 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant improvement • 25%
Moderate improvement • 25%
No improvement • 25%
Worsening conditions • 25%
Reports from international humanitarian organizations or credible news agencies
Story
Biden Warns Israel: Improve Gaza Aid Next Week or Face Military Aid Suspension
Nov 11, 2024, 08:53 AM
The United States has issued a stern warning to Israel, demanding significant improvements in the humanitarian situation in Gaza or face a potential suspension of military aid. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin communicated this ultimatum to Israel's Defense Minister Yoav Gallant. The Biden administration has set a deadline for next week for Israel to enhance access to humanitarian aid in Gaza, with National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan emphasizing that Hamas is obstructing a ceasefire. This would be the first time Biden has enforced U.S. laws conditioning military aid. In response, Israel has expanded a humanitarian zone in southern Gaza under pressure from the U.S. administration. The decision on whether Israel has met the U.S. demands will be made this week.
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Increased aid access • 25%
Decreased aid access • 25%
No change in aid access • 25%
Complete aid blockade • 25%
Aid completely halted • 25%
Aid partially halted • 25%
Aid continues as usual • 25%
Other • 25%
Aid completely cut off • 25%
Aid partially restricted • 25%
Aid continues as before • 25%
Increased aid efforts • 25%
Increased security measures • 25%
Reduction in operations • 25%
No change in operations • 25%
Cease of operations • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Significant increase in aid • 25%
Moderate increase in aid • 25%
No change in aid levels • 25%
Decrease in aid levels • 25%
Yes, fully allowed • 33%
Yes, partially allowed • 33%
No • 34%
Resumed operations • 25%
Operations remain halted • 25%
Partial resumption • 25%
UN withdraws from Gaza • 25%
