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Will families with U.S.-born children be deported under the new policy by the end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from immigration authorities or credible news outlets
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Trump's Border Czar to Reinstate Family Detention in Soft-Sided Tents for Mass Deportations
Dec 26, 2024, 05:49 PM
Tom Homan, the incoming 'border czar' for President-elect Donald Trump, has announced plans to reinstate family detention for migrants at the U.S. southern border. Homan stated that families with children will be detained in 'soft-sided' tent structures, similar to those used during previous migrant surges. He emphasized that the government will not hesitate to deport parents, even those with U.S.-born children, leaving families to decide whether to leave together or be separated. This policy shift reverses the Biden administration's 2021 decision to end family detention, which closed facilities that had provided about 3,000 beds. Homan mentioned the need to construct new family facilities, with the number of beds to be determined by data. This is part of Trump's broader strategy for mass deportations, which Homan is tasked with implementing.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No decision by deadline • 25%
Mixed approach • 25%
Parents can leave children behind • 25%
Parents must leave with children • 25%
Less than 10,000 families • 25%
More than 100,000 families • 25%
50,000 to 100,000 families • 25%
10,000 to 50,000 families • 25%
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Yes • 50%
Fully implemented • 25%
Partially implemented • 25%
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Blocked by courts • 25%
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Implemented fully • 25%
Partially implemented • 25%