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Market
Will parents with U.S.-born children be deported by the end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from the Department of Homeland Security or credible news outlets
Story
Trump's Border Czar to Reinstate Family Detention Centers, Including U.S.-Born Children
Dec 26, 2024, 11:18 PM
Tom Homan, designated as the 'border czar' by President-elect Donald Trump, has announced plans to reinstate family detention centers for migrants as part of the incoming administration's strategy to combat illegal immigration. This marks a significant shift from the Biden administration's policy, which had ceased operations of family detention centers in 2021. Homan emphasized that the policy would include the detention of families with children, even those born in the U.S., stating that parents knew they were in the country illegally when they chose to have children. He mentioned the need to construct new family facilities, with the number of beds to be determined by data. Homan also indicated that the Trump administration would not hesitate to deport parents with U.S.-born children, leaving the decision to families on whether to leave together or separate.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
50,000 to 100,000 families • 25%
More than 100,000 families • 25%
Less than 10,000 families • 25%
10,000 to 50,000 families • 25%
Mixed approach • 25%
Parents must leave with children • 25%
Parents can leave children behind • 25%
No decision by deadline • 25%
Not implemented • 25%
Blocked by courts • 25%
Partially implemented • 25%
Fully implemented • 25%
