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What will be the outcome of legal challenges to the family detention policy by the end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Policy upheld • 25%
Policy overturned • 25%
Policy modified • 25%
No significant legal challenges • 25%
Court rulings or legal proceedings
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Trump's Border Czar to Reinstate Family Detention in Soft-Sided Tents for Mass Deportations
Dec 26, 2024, 05:49 PM
Tom Homan, the incoming 'border czar' for President-elect Donald Trump, has announced plans to reinstate family detention for migrants at the U.S. southern border. Homan stated that families with children will be detained in 'soft-sided' tent structures, similar to those used during previous migrant surges. He emphasized that the government will not hesitate to deport parents, even those with U.S.-born children, leaving families to decide whether to leave together or be separated. This policy shift reverses the Biden administration's 2021 decision to end family detention, which closed facilities that had provided about 3,000 beds. Homan mentioned the need to construct new family facilities, with the number of beds to be determined by data. This is part of Trump's broader strategy for mass deportations, which Homan is tasked with implementing.
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Policy upheld • 25%
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Policy struck down • 25%
No legal challenges • 25%
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Policies completely struck down • 25%
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No Major Challenges • 25%
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Reinstated • 25%
Not reinstated • 25%
Expanded • 25%
Partially reinstated • 25%
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Ongoing litigation • 25%
No challenges • 25%
Both federal and state challenges • 25%
Federal court challenges • 25%
State court challenges • 25%
Partially Upheld • 25%
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Struck Down • 25%
No Ruling by Deadline • 25%
Fully Overturned • 25%
Upheld • 25%
Partially Overturned • 25%
No significant rulings • 25%
No decision • 34%
Upheld • 33%
Overturned • 33%
Challenges in lower courts only • 25%
Challenges reaching appellate courts • 25%
Challenges reaching the Supreme Court • 25%
No significant legal challenges • 25%
Evenly split • 25%
Majority oppose • 25%
Uncertain/no clear majority • 25%
Majority support • 25%