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Will Erdogan issue an ultimatum on Syria's territorial integrity by March 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from the Turkish government or Erdogan's public speeches
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Erdogan Warns of Military Intervention to Prevent Syria's Fragmentation
Jan 6, 2025, 04:54 PM
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has declared that Turkey will not tolerate the fragmentation or disruption of Syria's unitary structure. He emphasized that if any risk arises in this regard, Turkey is prepared to take swift action, including military intervention if necessary, to prevent such an outcome. Erdogan's statements suggest a readiness to intervene militarily if necessary, indicating Turkey's firm stance on maintaining Syria's territorial integrity.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
YPG complies and withdraws • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Negotiations lead to a peaceful resolution • 25%
Turkey launches military operation • 25%
