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Market
Will Edmundo González Urrutia return to Venezuela on January 10, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
News reports from reputable sources such as BBC, CNN, or Reuters confirming his return.
Story
Venezuela Offers $100,000 Reward for Capture of Opposition Leader Edmundo González Urrutia Amid Election Dispute
Jan 3, 2025, 12:56 AM
Venezuela's government has announced a $100,000 reward for information leading to the capture of Edmundo González Urrutia, an opposition leader who claims to have defeated President Nicolás Maduro in the presidential election held on July 28 of the previous year. González Urrutia, accused of conspiracy, money laundering, and inciting unrest, fled to Spain in September and has been granted political asylum there. He plans to return to Venezuela on January 10 to assume the presidency, coinciding with Maduro's scheduled inauguration for his third term.
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Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Returns safely • 25%
Arrested • 25%
Exiled again • 25%
Other • 25%
Returns but faces other outcomes • 25%
Returns and assumes presidency • 25%
Returns and is detained • 25%
Does not return • 25%
Arrested upon return • 25%
Successfully assumes presidency • 25%
Does not return • 25%
Returns but not arrested or assumes presidency • 25%
Arrested • 25%
Leaves Venezuela again • 25%
Remains in hiding • 25%
Inaugurated as President • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
