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Market
What will be the outcome of Edmundo González Urrutia's return to Venezuela on January 10, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Successfully returns and assumes presidency • 25%
Returns but is arrested • 25%
Does not return • 25%
Returns but faces other outcomes • 25%
News reports from reputable sources such as BBC, CNN, or Reuters.
Story
Venezuela Offers $100,000 Reward for Capture of Opposition Leader Edmundo González Urrutia Amid Election Dispute
Jan 3, 2025, 12:56 AM
Venezuela's government has announced a $100,000 reward for information leading to the capture of Edmundo González Urrutia, an opposition leader who claims to have defeated President Nicolás Maduro in the presidential election held on July 28 of the previous year. González Urrutia, accused of conspiracy, money laundering, and inciting unrest, fled to Spain in September and has been granted political asylum there. He plans to return to Venezuela on January 10 to assume the presidency, coinciding with Maduro's scheduled inauguration for his third term.
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Similar markets
Other • 25%
Exiled again • 25%
Arrested • 25%
Returns safely • 25%
Returns but not arrested or assumes presidency • 25%
Does not return • 25%
Successfully assumes presidency • 25%
Arrested upon return • 25%
Remains in hiding • 25%
Arrested • 25%
Leaves Venezuela again • 25%
Inaugurated as President • 25%
Returns but faces other outcomes • 25%
Does not return • 25%
Returns and is detained • 25%
Returns and assumes presidency • 25%
Negotiates a settlement • 25%
Captured • 25%
Returns voluntarily • 25%
Remains in exile • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Acquitted • 25%
Charges dropped • 25%
Trial ongoing • 25%
Convicted • 25%