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Will China and the Philippines have a reported clash in the South China Sea by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
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No • 50%
News reports from credible sources such as Reuters, BBC, or official government statements
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China and Philippines Establish Hotline, Three New Channels to Prevent South China Sea Clashes
Jul 17, 2024, 03:03 AM
China and the Philippines have signed an agreement to establish a direct line of communication between their presidential offices to prevent clashes in the South China Sea. The deal, confirmed by the Philippine Department of Foreign Affairs, aims to stop confrontations from escalating. Additionally, the countries will set up three new communication channels involving representatives from the leaders, foreign ministries, and coast guards. This move comes amid heightened tensions and frequent clashes over territory in the disputed waters.
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Naval encounter • 25%
Airspace violation • 25%
Fishing rights dispute • 25%
Other • 25%
No further incidents • 25%
Minor incidents • 25%
Major incidents • 25%
Escalation to armed conflict • 25%
China backs down • 25%
Philippines backs down • 25%
Mutual agreement reached • 25%
Conflict escalates • 25%