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Military clash between China and the Philippines in the South China Sea by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
International news agencies and official military statements
Story
Philippine Military Condemns China's Air Force for Dangerous Maneuvers
Aug 10, 2024, 09:35 AM
The Armed Forces of the Philippines (AFP) has condemned the People’s Liberation Army Air Force for executing a maneuver on August 8 that endangered a Philippine Air Force aircraft and interfered with flight operations within Philippine airspace. The incident occurred in the South China Sea, a region known for its contested territorial claims. The Philippine military described the actions of China's air force as 'dangerous and provocative,' particularly at a contested shoal in the area.
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Military engagement • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
No further incidents • 25%
Minor incidents • 25%
Major incidents • 25%
Escalation to armed conflict • 25%
