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Will China and the Philippines engage in direct diplomatic talks to resolve South China Sea disputes by the end of 2024?
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Philippines•BRP Sierra Madre•Ayungin Shoal•South China Sea•Chinese Coast Guard•Navy•China•Coast Guard•Second Thomas Shoal
Resolution / Starting Odds
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No • 50%
Official statements from the governments of China and the Philippines, or verified news reports
Story
Philippines Evacuates Sick Navy Personnel from Ayungin Shoal Despite Chinese Interference on July 7
Jul 10, 2024, 03:02 AM
The Philippines successfully conducted a medical evacuation from its outpost on the BRP Sierra Madre in Ayungin Shoal, South China Sea, despite interference from Chinese Coast Guard vessels. The evacuation, which took place on July 7, involved a sick Navy personnel and faced numerous obstructing and delaying maneuvers by China. China's Coast Guard claimed that they 'allowed' the evacuation on humanitarian grounds from the illegally grounded warship on Ren'ai Jiao, also known as Second Thomas Shoal, but the Philippines dismissed this claim as 'ridiculous.' The incident highlights ongoing tensions between the two nations over territorial disputes in the South China Sea.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
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Yes • 50%
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Compensation paid • 25%
Joint patrol agreement • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
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No • 50%
China backs down • 25%
Philippines backs down • 25%
Mutual agreement reached • 25%
Conflict escalates • 25%
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No • 50%
Resolution through negotiations • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
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New agreement reached • 25%
Philippines files protest • 25%
China imposes sanctions • 25%
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