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Will Canada negotiate a trade agreement with the U.S. to avoid tariffs by January 20, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from Canadian or U.S. government or verified news reports
Story
Trudeau Meets with President-elect Trump at Mar-a-Lago Amid Threat of 25% Tariffs on Canadian Imports
Nov 30, 2024, 05:47 AM
Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau met with U.S. President-elect Donald Trump for an unannounced dinner at Mar-a-Lago, Trump's estate in Palm Beach, Florida. The visit comes days after Trump threatened Canada and Mexico with a 25% tariff on imports upon his inauguration, raising concerns about significant economic impacts on Canadian industries. Facing political challenges at home, Trudeau is seeking to mitigate trade tensions and prevent the imposition of massive tariffs. The meeting underscores the urgency for Canada to navigate the evolving U.S.-Canada trade relationship ahead of Trump's inauguration.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Justin Trudeau • 25%
Chrystia Freeland • 25%
Francois-Philippe Champagne • 25%
Other • 25%
New trade agreement reached • 25%
Tariffs increased • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Trade tensions escalate • 25%
Diplomatic Resolution • 25%
Retaliatory Measures by Canada • 25%
U.S. Withdraws Tariffs • 25%
No Resolution • 25%