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Will another G4 or higher geomagnetic storm occur before end of 2024?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
NOAA or other reputable meteorological agencies' reports
Story
Severe Geomagnetic Storm Brings Northern Lights Across U.S. and Europe Thursday Night, NOAA Warns
Oct 11, 2024, 05:57 AM
A severe G4 geomagnetic storm hit Earth on Thursday night, causing the northern lights to be visible across a large portion of the United States and parts of Europe. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) issued a severe geomagnetic storm watch, warning that the storm could affect power grids weakened by recent hurricanes. The aurora borealis was seen as far south as Alabama, Texas, and San Antonio in the U.S., and across the UK, including London and East Anglia. The storm provided a stunning display of colors, with skies lit up in hues of magenta and green. The event was notable for its intensity and widespread visibility, offering a rare opportunity for many to witness the northern lights.
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Similar markets
Power grid failures • 25%
Communication disruptions • 25%
Satellite malfunctions • 25%
Other • 25%
G1 (Minor) • 25%
G2 (Moderate) • 25%
G3 (Strong) • 25%
G4 or higher (Severe) • 25%
Less than 24 hours • 25%
24 to 48 hours • 25%
48 to 72 hours • 25%
More than 72 hours • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
North America • 25%
Europe • 25%
Asia • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Northern U.S. • 25%
Midwestern U.S. • 25%
UK • 25%
Other • 25%