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Will an automatic recount occur in the Pennsylvania Senate race?
5
Dave McCormick•Pennsylvania Senate•Associated Press•Democratic•Bob Casey•McCormick•AP•Casey•Philadelphia•Senate•Chuck Schumer•Republican•Schumer•Mike Lee•Capitol
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Pennsylvania state election results and announcements
Story
McCormick Wins Pennsylvania Senate Race; Schumer Blocks Orientation Amid Casey's Refusal to Concede
Nov 10, 2024, 05:34 PM
Republican Dave McCormick has been declared the winner of the Pennsylvania Senate race by the Associated Press, defeating three-term incumbent Democratic Senator Bob Casey. McCormick holds a lead of over 32,000 votes, amounting to approximately 0.5 percentage points—a margin that could prompt an automatic recount under state law. Despite the AP's projection, Casey has declined to concede, citing over 100,000 outstanding provisional ballots, particularly in Philadelphia. McCormick's campaign has filed a lawsuit challenging these provisional ballots, requesting the court to permit 'global challenges' to ballots. In response to Casey's refusal to concede, Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer is barring McCormick from participating in Senate orientation. Republican senators have criticized Schumer's decision, accusing him of election denial, and have offered to escort McCormick to the orientation, with Senator Mike Lee offering to accompany him into the Capitol.
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Dave McCormick remains the winner • 25%
Bob Casey declared the winner • 25%
Recount inconclusive, further legal action required • 25%
Recount not completed by deadline • 25%
Dave McCormick wins • 33%
Bob Casey wins • 33%
Another candidate wins • 33%
Less than 1,000 votes • 25%
1,000 to 5,000 votes • 25%
5,001 to 10,000 votes • 25%
More than 10,000 votes • 25%
David McCormick wins • 33%
Bob Casey wins • 33%
Recount inconclusive • 34%
Increases McCormick's lead • 25%
Reduces McCormick's lead • 25%
Results in a tie • 25%
Gives Casey the lead • 25%