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Outcome of PA Senate Race Recount (if initiated)
3
Pennsylvania•Senate•Republican Dave McCormick•Democrat Bob Casey•Pennsylvania Supreme Court•Democratic•Bucks•Philadelphia•Centre•Montgomery•McCormick•Associated Press•Casey
Resolution / Starting Odds
Dave McCormick remains the winner • 25%
Bob Casey declared the winner • 25%
Recount inconclusive, further legal action required • 25%
Recount not completed by deadline • 25%
Official recount results from Pennsylvania election officials
Story
Pennsylvania Supreme Court Stops Counting of Undated Ballots as McCormick Leads by 17,000 Votes
Nov 18, 2024, 08:47 PM
Pennsylvania's high-stakes Senate race between Republican Dave McCormick and incumbent Democrat Bob Casey is embroiled in controversy over the counting of undated and misdated mail-in ballots. Despite a November 18th ruling from the Pennsylvania Supreme Court stating that such ballots "shall not be counted," election officials in several Democratic-controlled counties, including Bucks, Philadelphia, Centre, and Montgomery, have continued to include these ballots in their tallies, openly defying the court's order. With McCormick leading by approximately 17,000 votes and 99% of votes counted, the Associated Press has called the race for him. However, Casey refuses to concede and is seeking a recount due to the narrow margin. The Pennsylvania Supreme Court, which has a Democratic majority, reiterated its order for counties to immediately cease counting the disputed ballots.
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David McCormick wins • 33%
Bob Casey wins • 33%
Recount inconclusive • 34%
Bob Casey Wins • 25%
Dave McCormick Wins • 25%
Recount Declared Invalid • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Less than 1,000 votes • 25%
1,000 to 5,000 votes • 25%
5,001 to 10,000 votes • 25%
More than 10,000 votes • 25%
McCormick wins by more than 1,000 votes • 25%
McCormick wins by 1,000 votes or less • 25%
Casey wins by 1,000 votes or less • 25%
Casey wins by more than 1,000 votes • 25%
Increases McCormick's lead • 25%
Reduces McCormick's lead • 25%
Results in a tie • 25%
Gives Casey the lead • 25%
Dave McCormick wins • 33%
Bob Casey wins • 33%
Another candidate wins • 33%
Less than 49% • 25%
49% to 49.5% • 25%
49.5% to 50% • 25%
More than 50% • 25%
Disputed ballots included • 25%
Disputed ballots excluded • 25%
Partial inclusion of disputed ballots • 25%
Case dismissed without decision • 25%