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Will a preliminary report on the Azerbaijan Airlines crash be released by March 31, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Publication of a preliminary report by Russian Federal Air Transport Agency or Kazakh authorities
Story
Kremlin Declines to Speculate on Aqtau Airport Crash of Azerbaijan Airlines, Preliminary Findings Suggest Bird Strike, 38 Killed
Dec 26, 2024, 09:01 AM
The Kremlin has declined to speculate on the causes of the Azerbaijan Airlines plane crash near Aktau, Kazakhstan, which resulted in the deaths of 38 people. Spokesman Dmitry Peskov emphasized the importance of waiting for the investigation to conclude before drawing any conclusions. Preliminary findings from Russia's Federal Air Transport Agency suggested that a bird strike may have caused the crash. Meanwhile, the Kremlin has rejected media reports suggesting the incident was the result of an attack, maintaining that it is premature to form hypotheses until the investigation is complete.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Shot down by Russian defenses • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Missile strike confirmed • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Other cause • 25%
