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International aviation authority final report on Azerbaijan Airlines crash by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Publication of a final report by international aviation authorities like ICAO or relevant national aviation bodies
Story
Aliyev: Azerbaijan Airlines Plane Crashed Near Aktau After Russian Ground Fire, 38 Dead
Dec 29, 2024, 11:54 AM
Azerbaijan's President Ilham Aliyev announced that the Azerbaijan Airlines (AZAL) passenger plane that crashed near Kazakhstan's city of Aktau was heavily damaged due to ground fire while flying over Russian airspace near Grozny. He stated that the aircraft's fuselage was riddled with holes, dismissing theories that it had hit a flock of birds. The plane became uncontrollable due to electronic warfare and crashed during an attempted emergency landing on Wednesday, resulting in the deaths of 38 people. Aliyev emphasized that the plane was not intentionally shot down by Russia but expressed disappointment over false narratives from Russia regarding the cause of the crash.
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Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Russian air defense systems responsible • 25%
Technical failure of aircraft • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Russian air defense responsible • 25%
Other cause • 25%
No one held responsible • 25%
Third-party involvement • 25%
Azerbaijani claims disproven • 25%
Russian military personnel • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Other • 25%
Shot down by Russian defenses • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Accidental • 25%
Undetermined • 25%
Sabotage • 25%
Negligence • 25%