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Who will the Lebanese government primarily blame for the pager and walkie-talkie bombings by end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Israel • 25%
Hezbollah • 25%
Other group • 25%
No official blame • 25%
Official statements from the Lebanese government, credible international news sources
Story
Israeli President Denies Involvement in Lebanon Pager and Walkie-Talkie Bombings
Sep 22, 2024, 12:32 PM
Israeli President Isaac Herzog has denied Israel's involvement in the recent deadly pager and walkie-talkie bombings in Lebanon. In multiple statements, Herzog emphasized that Israel does not seek war with Lebanon and attributed the instability to Hezbollah, which he described as a terrorist organization backed by Iran. Herzog reiterated that Israel has no connection to the explosions and pointed out that Hezbollah has many enemies. The Israeli Permanent Representative to the United Nations also refused to admit any Israeli involvement in the attacks.
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Hezbollah • 25%
Israel • 25%
Iran • 25%
Other • 25%
Hezbollah • 25%
Israel • 25%
Other • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Local Lebanese citizens • 25%
Hezbollah supporters • 25%
External actors • 25%
Other • 25%
Hezbollah • 25%
ISIS • 25%
A foreign government • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Successful resolution • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Other • 25%
Israel held responsible • 25%
Another country held responsible • 25%
Internal actors held responsible • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Strengthen relations with Israel • 25%
Weaken relations with Israel • 25%
Strengthen relations with Hezbollah • 25%
Weaken relations with Hezbollah • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Russia • 25%
United States • 25%
France • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful mediation • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%