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Who will be blamed for the July 17 missile attack on Mykolaiv?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Russian military • 25%
Ukrainian military (false flag) • 25%
Third-party actors • 25%
No official blame assigned • 25%
Official statements from Ukrainian and Russian governments, verified by major news agencies
Story
Russian Missile Attack on July 17 Kills Three in Mykolaiv
Jul 19, 2024, 07:00 PM
On July 17, Russia launched a missile attack on Mykolaiv, Ukraine, resulting in the death of three people, including a 10-year-old child and a 12-year-old boy named Kyrylo Diadiushko. Kyrylo, who was part of a Ukrainian folk dancing group, was killed when a missile hit a children's playground. The Office of Prosecutor General confirmed the casualties. Kyrylo's mother is in a state of shock and receiving psychological support.
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Russian Military • 25%
Separatist Forces • 25%
Ukrainian Military (accidental) • 25%
Other • 25%
Russian military • 25%
Pro-Russian separatists • 25%
Ukrainian military • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukrainian Armed Forces • 25%
Ukrainian paramilitary groups • 25%
Unidentified group • 25%
Other • 25%
Russian government • 25%
Ukrainian government • 25%
Third-party investigation • 25%
No party takes responsibility • 25%
Ukraine • 25%
Russia • 25%
Third-party group • 25%
Unknown • 25%
ICBM confirmed • 25%
Different missile type confirmed • 25%
Inconclusive results • 25%
No investigation • 25%
Ukrainian forces • 25%
Russian dissidents • 25%
Other parties • 25%
No official blame • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Vladimir Putin • 25%
Sergey Lavrov • 25%
Sergey Shoigu • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukraine • 25%
Russia • 25%
Other • 25%
No Clear Blame • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Ukraine found responsible • 33%
US found complicit • 33%
Other outcomes • 34%