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Which group will attack the U.S. military base in Kobani by December 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Kurdish-led SDF • 25%
Turkey-aligned rebel groups • 25%
ISIS • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from U.S. Department of Defense or major news outlets confirming the attacking group
Story
US Constructs Military Base in Kobani, Ayn al-Arab Near Turkey Border with 50 Trucks
Jan 2, 2025, 11:17 AM
The United States has begun constructing a new military base in the city of Kobani, also known as Ayn al-Arab, in northern Syria near the border with Turkey. The construction is aimed at reinforcing the U.S. military presence in the region, amid ongoing tensions and clashes between the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) and Turkey-aligned rebel groups. A convoy carrying construction materials, including concrete barriers, fuel, and logistical supplies, was reported to have arrived in the area, consisting of approximately 50 trucks. The base is being established in a building previously known as the Kenem Hotel, now used as a student dormitory, marking the first time the U.S. has set up a military base directly in the center of a Syrian city. The move is seen as a strategic effort to support the SDF and counter Turkey's operations against Kurdish forces in the region.
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Other • 25%
United States • 25%
Syria • 25%
Turkey • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Military base • 25%
Civilian area • 25%
Government building • 25%
Other • 25%
None • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Hezbollah • 25%
Iran • 25%
No military action taken • 25%
ISIS • 25%
Both simultaneously • 25%
PKK-affiliated groups • 25%
Under Turkish control • 25%
Under Syrian government control • 25%
Other control • 25%
Remains under SDF control • 25%
Other • 25%
No actor identified • 25%
U.K. • 25%
U.S. • 25%
Syrian Government Forces • 25%
Rebel Forces • 25%
ISIS or other extremist groups • 25%
Kurdish Forces • 25%