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Who will be identified as the primary actor in a terrorist attack on Russian military bases in Syria by Dec 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
U.S. • 25%
U.K. • 25%
Other • 25%
No actor identified • 25%
Reports from credible news agencies or official government announcements
Story
Russia's SVR Claims US and UK Planning Terrorist Attacks on Russian Military Bases in Syria to Force Withdrawal
Dec 28, 2024, 07:22 AM
Russia's Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR) has accused U.S. and U.K. intelligence agencies of planning terrorist attacks on Russian military bases in Syria. The SVR claims these actions are intended to provoke Russia into withdrawing its forces from the region. The allegations suggest that the intelligence agencies are attempting to destabilize the situation in Syria following the ousting of President Bashar al-Assad. The SVR did not provide specific evidence to support its claims, which have been widely reported by various news agencies. The situation reflects ongoing tensions between Russia and the West regarding military presence and influence in Syria.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Iranian-backed groups • 25%
Israel • 25%
Syrian Government • 25%
Other • 25%
Kurdish forces • 25%
Assad regime forces • 25%
ISIS • 25%
Russian military • 25%
No clear blame assigned • 25%
Turkish Government • 25%
Kurdish Forces • 25%
Turkish-backed Militias • 25%
No claim or Other • 25%
ISIS • 25%
Al-Qaeda • 25%
Local militia • 25%
Al-Qaeda • 25%
Vilayat Khorasan • 25%
ISIS • 25%
Other • 25%
Internal factions • 25%
Ukraine • 25%
United States • 25%
Other • 25%
Industrial facilities • 25%
Residential buildings • 25%
Military installations • 25%
Transportation hubs • 25%