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Which faction will be dominant in Jenin following 'Protect the Homeland' operation by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Palestinian Authority • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Other militant groups • 25%
No clear control • 25%
Reports from international news agencies or official statements by Palestinian Authority
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U.S. Requests Israel's Approval for Military Aid to Palestinian Authority Amid 'Protect the Homeland' Operation in Jenin
Dec 15, 2024, 06:03 PM
The United States has requested Israel to approve urgent military assistance for the Palestinian Authority (PA) as it undertakes a significant operation in Jenin, aimed at regaining control from armed factions. This operation, named 'Protect the Homeland,' is the largest conducted by Palestinian security forces in years and is seen as a critical effort to counter militant groups, particularly Hamas, which has recently increased its activities in the region. U.S. officials have indicated that the PA's actions are timely given the changing dynamics in the area, emphasizing the need for the PA to maintain its presence in volatile regions to ensure the operation's success.
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Palestinian Authority • 25%
Palestinian Islamic Jihad • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Other local factions • 25%
Increased IDF presence • 25%
Decreased IDF presence • 25%
Increased Hamas activity • 25%
No significant change • 25%
PA regains full control • 25%
Continued conflict with no clear control • 25%
Militants retain control • 25%
Negotiated settlement reached • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Islamic Jihad • 25%
Al-Aqsa Martyrs' Brigades • 25%
Other • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Fatah • 25%
Islamic Jihad • 25%
Other • 25%
Anti-Assad rebels • 25%
Syrian government forces • 25%
Other rebel groups • 25%
No clear control • 25%
Gaza-based faction • 33%
Exiled leaders • 33%
Neither/Status Quo • 34%
Islamic Jihad • 25%
Hamas • 25%
al-Aqsa Martyrs' Brigades • 25%
Other • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Al-Aqsa Martyrs' Brigades • 25%
Islamic Jihad • 25%
Other • 25%